Here is a look at some preliminary, quantitative comparisons of the NDFD forecasts and the HWIND analysis for various times. Essentially, I have interpolated the NDFD and HWIND gridded data onto a common grid, and then calculated the difference. Warm colors indicate overdone forecasts, with cool colors indicating underdone forecasts. A few common patterns:
-It appears the forecasts immediately near the forecast center were pretty well done.
-There appeared to be a transitional area just outside the eyewall region, where the wind forecasts appear to be most overdone.
-I agree with Jonathan’s previous post, in that WFO forecasting regions clearly show up in the difference plots.
Comments are welcome!