CSTAR Tropical Cyclone Winds Project Expanding Its Operational Footprint

The 2014 NOAA Hurricane Conference wrapped up in Miami, FL earlier this month. The conference provided an opportunity for the National Hurricane Center, the National Weather Service, and other participants from NOAA to discuss changes to improve service and science during future tropical cyclone events and to provide updates on conference topics from previous years. The CSTAR tropical cyclone winds team provided an update on their research and collaborative work at the conference as agenda item 14-14.

The conference was provided an update on our project and some of its accomplishments including…
•    Climatologically-based TCM bias correction
•    TCMWindTool improvements
•    The experimental WindReductionFactor and WindGustFactor GFE methodology

Snapshot of the updated TCMWind Tool which incorporates several of the CSTAR tropical cyclone winds team results

Snapshot of the updated GFE TCMWind Tool which incorporates several of the CSTAR tropical cyclone winds team deliverables.

In addition, the conference was presented with some experiences with the use of the new bias correction, the TCMWindTool improvements, and the experimental WindReductionFactor and WindGustFactor GFE methodology which were used at WFOs Raleigh, NC; Wilmington, NC; Newport, NC; and Charleston, SC during Hurricane Arthur in July 2014 (link to a previous blog post – Hurricane Arthur Provided an Opportunity to Demonstrate a CSTAR Research to Operations Success in Creating Tropical Cyclone Sustained Wind Forecasts).

Finally, our proposal to use these methodologies during the 2015 season at the current WFOs and to expand their use to the other NC State CSTAR WFOs was accepted at the conference. While no final decisions have been made, we may expand the use of these techniques operationally to three additional WFOs including Wakefield, VA; Baltimore MD/Washington D.C.; and Columbia, SC.

The full presentation and slide deck used during the NOAA Hurricane Conference presentation is available at this link.

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