Monthly Archives: March 2016

Potential HSLC severe event Thursday, March 24th, including VORTEX-SE deployment

A potent upper-level trough (Fig. 1) and associated surface cyclone (Fig. 2) moving through the eastern CONUS will bring a chance for severe high-shear, low-CAPE (HSLC) convection to portions of the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys on Thursday. This event is … Continue reading

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NWP Systems Reference Updated for ECMWF Changes

On March 8, the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) upgraded the Integrated Forecast System (IFS) with a significant reduction of the horizontal resolution of the high-resolution (HRES) and ensemble (ENS) forecasts. The upgraded horizontal resolution is now around … Continue reading

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