Category Archives: Uncategorized

Late Spring HSLC Tornadoes across the Carolinas and Virginia: 4-5 May 2017

In association with a high amplitude closed upper low over the Mississsippi Valley, and a retreating wedge front at the surface, a mainly late night outbreak of wind damage and tornadoes occurred in a classic high shear, low CAPE (HSLC) … Continue reading

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Modified SHERB forecast plots now available

Forecast graphics for the modified SHERB (MOSH) and SHERBE (MOSHE) parameters are now available at the following links for the RAP, NAM, and GFS: http://storms.meas.ncsu.edu/users/mdparker/rap/hslc.html http://storms.meas.ncsu.edu/users/mdparker/nam/hslc.html http://storms.meas.ncsu.edu/users/mdparker/gfs/hslc.html We have noticed that the calculated values show relative consistency between models, and … Continue reading

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Operational NWP Resolution and Sensitivities Study Using HSLC Event Hindcasts Summary

At last month’s CSTAR workshop, I shared the results and analysis of my thesis project as well as some thoughts on related future work. I would like to provide a summary of my and Dr. Lackmann’s work with this post … Continue reading

Posted in CIMMSE, Convection, CSTAR, High Shear Low Cape Severe Wx, NWP, Uncategorized | Tagged , | Leave a comment

Updated List of NC State-NWS CSTAR Publications

Shown below is a list of publications and abstracts developed as a part of the most recent NC State-NWS CSTAR project entitled “Understanding and Prediction of High Impact Weather Associated with Low-Topped Severe Convection in the Southeastern U.S.”¬†Note that additional … Continue reading

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Hurricane Matthew Gust Factors

To evaluate the performance of CSTAR related research to operations activities, the sustained winds, wind gusts, and gust factors for Hurricane Matthew (2016) were examined across coastal and eastern Georgia, South Carolina, North Carolina, and Virginia. The image above or … Continue reading

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Tropical Storm Hermine Follow Up with Lessons Learned, Wind Gusts and Gust Factors

To evaluate the performance of CSTAR related research to operations activities, members of the CSTAR Tropical Cyclone (TC) wind team recently discussed experiences with Tropical Storm Hermine (September 2016).¬† In addition, the sustained winds, wind gusts, and gust factors for … Continue reading

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Forecasts of Winds and Wind Gusts Associated with Tropical Cyclone Hermine Using CSTAR Research

The approach of Tropical Cyclone (TC) Hermine provides WFOs in the Carolinas and Virginia with another opportunity to use and evaluate a technique to forecast tropical cyclone winds and wind gusts. A Collaborative Science, Technology, and Applied Research (CSTAR) project … Continue reading

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