Category Archives: Uncategorized

A quick look at some of the forecast products on the NC State HLSC web page suggests an increasing threat for severe weather on Tuesday morning. While the overall thermodynamic environment appears marginal, recent forecast trends suggest boundary layer moisture and … Continue reading →

Given that Friday has at least some low-end HSLC potential in the Southeastern U.S., I took the opportunity to update the HSLC products feedback form so that it now includes questions about the so-called Modified SHERB (MOSH) and SHERBE (MOSHE).  … Continue reading →

On December 13, a winter weather oriented sub-regional SOO and Northwest Flow Project virtual workshop was held. The workshop was organized following the Spring 2017 CSTAR Workshop and Mid-Atlantic and Southeast Sub-regional SOO meeting held in Raleigh where participants suggested … Continue reading →

In association with a high amplitude closed upper low over the Mississsippi Valley, and a retreating wedge front at the surface, a mainly late night outbreak of wind damage and tornadoes occurred in a classic high shear, low CAPE (HSLC) … Continue reading →

Forecast graphics for the modified SHERB (MOSH) and SHERBE (MOSHE) parameters are now available at the following links for the RAP, NAM, and GFS: http://storms.meas.ncsu.edu/users/mdparker/rap/hslc.html http://storms.meas.ncsu.edu/users/mdparker/nam/hslc.html http://storms.meas.ncsu.edu/users/mdparker/gfs/hslc.html We have noticed that the calculated values show relative consistency between models, and … Continue reading →