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Author Archives: fjdalewx
PRE and Cold Air Damming ahead of Tropical Storm Andrea?
There has been a lot of discussion lately about a possible Predecessor Rainfall Event (PRE) that occurred yesterday (June 5, 2013) and weak Cold Air Damming (CAD) ahead of Tropical Storm Andrea. These are both processes that have occurred in … Continue reading
Posted in TC and Boundary QPF
3 Comments
Notes from 7/11/2012 CSTAR TC Boundary/QPF conference call
Jordan Dale shared his initial findings from two WRF simulations of TC Ernesto initialized at 06Z and 12Z 8/30/06 using 1ĚŠ resolution GFS forecast data. The 12Z simulation was run on a 36-km grid with nested 12 and 4-km domains. … Continue reading
Posted in CSTAR, TC and Boundary QPF
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TD Beryl Event Summary
Beryl originated as a tropical disturbance in the Caribbean which tracked northeastward off the Southeast US coast on May 25 (Fig. 1). The system was initially classified a subtropical storm on 00Z May 26 as its motion became west-southwesterly along … Continue reading
Posted in CSTAR, TC and Boundary QPF
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TC Boundary/QPF Hurricane Ernesto Case Study Update
Manual surface analyses of pressure and temperature have been completed every six hours from 0000Z 8/31 to 2300Z 9/01 using METAR observations from SC, NC, VA, and (a few) offshore. These analyses were then compared to MSAS 2-D surface frontogenesis … Continue reading
Posted in CSTAR, TC and Boundary QPF
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TC QPF/Boundary Interaction Case Study Outline
Based on the available data, forecaster comments, and impacts (damage, fatalities) for each storm, the TC QPF group has chosen Tropical Storm Ernesto from 2006 as an initial case for further study. We expect Ernesto to have a stronger boundary … Continue reading
Posted in TC and Boundary QPF
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Tropical Cyclone QPF/Boundary Interaction Case Selection Update
After analyzing the 54 tropical cyclones that moved through the CSTAR domain since 1995, a number of potential candidate cases stood out for further research. These include Hurricane Irene (August 2011), Tropical Storm Hanna (September 2008), Tropical Storm Ernesto (September … Continue reading
Posted in TC and Boundary QPF
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Resources Providing Lists of Landfalling Tropical Cyclones
During the recent CSTAR QPF conference call, it was suggested that previous work containing comprehensive lists of landfalling tropical cyclones (TCs) be provided. Three NC State master’s theses contain lists of landfalling TCs for possible investigation. Feedback from those involved … Continue reading
Posted in CSTAR, TC and Boundary QPF
3 Comments