Category Archives: CIMMSE

Collaborative Effort to predict hourly temperature drop during the August, 2017 Total Solar Eclipse

A total solar eclipse is a rare event. In the past 50 years, there has been only 1 total eclipse visible from the Southeast United States, on March 7, 1970, and just a handful of partial eclipses including May 30, … Continue reading

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Collaborative Effort to Account for the Impact of the August 21st Solar Eclipse on Operational Forecasts in the Mid Atlantic and Southeast

Meteorologists recognize that solar eclipses in the past have had a notable impact on the sensible weather in the regions in which they occur. These impacts can include a decrease in surface temperature, reduction and changes to surface winds, lowering … Continue reading

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A pair of HSLC-related presentations: NOAA VLab Forum and AMS Mesoscale Conference

Over the last few months, I have provided two presentations on recent HSLC-related research. In June, I was the presenter at NOAA’s VLab Forum, where I provided an overview of the ongoing HSLC CSTAR project based at NC State University. … Continue reading

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Operational NWP Resolution and Sensitivities Study Using HSLC Event Hindcasts Summary

At last month’s CSTAR workshop, I shared the results and analysis of my thesis project as well as some thoughts on related future work. I would like to provide a summary of my and Dr. Lackmann’s work with this post … Continue reading

Posted in CIMMSE, Convection, CSTAR, High Shear Low Cape Severe Wx, NWP, Uncategorized | Tagged , | Leave a comment

2017 CSTAR Workshop and Mid-Atlantic and Southeast Sub-regional SOO Meeting Held in Raleigh

On April 26th through 28th over 20 meteorologists from the National Weather Service (NWS) as well as faculty and students from N.C. State University (NCSU) gathered in Raleigh to get updates on various collaborative research activities, share operational and training … Continue reading

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HSLC materials from Severe Local Storms Conference available, HSLC composite maps manuscript published

In November, CSTAR student Keith Sherburn traveled to the AMS Severe Local Storms Conference in Portland, OR to present recent research involving HSLC idealized simulations (via a talk) and composite environments (via a poster). Materials for this conference are now … Continue reading

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Precipitation Pattern across the North Carolina during Hurricane Matthew – Part 2 of 2: Classic Pattern for Enhanced Tropical Cyclone Rainfall across the Carolinas during Matthew

Hurricane Matthew dumped a swath of 8 to 18 inches of rain across inland portions of eastern North Carolina during the period of 07 October through 09 October 2016. Several locations reported incredible rain amounts including 18.38 inches in Elizabethtown … Continue reading

Posted in CIMMSE, Hydrology, TC and Boundary QPF | 1 Comment

Precipitation Pattern across the North Carolina during Hurricane Matthew – Part 1 of 2: Left of Track Precipitation Distribution

Hurricane Matthew dumped a swath of 8 to 18 inches of rain across inland portions of eastern North Carolina during the period of 07 October through 09 October 2016. Several locations reported incredible rain amounts including 18.38 inches in Elizabethtown … Continue reading

Posted in CIMMSE, Hydrology | Leave a comment

Interesting Findings from Two Fall HSLC Cases (23 Nov. 2014 & 18 Nov. 2015)

CSTAR folks, We wanted to post a review of several HSLC cases that had some significant operational utility here at FFC to garner further insight, comments, or discussion you may have (included some discussion points at the end).  Both happen … Continue reading

Posted in CIMMSE, Convection, CSTAR, General Information, High Shear Low Cape Severe Wx | 3 Comments

December 23, 2015 Severe Weather Potential

Contrary to other potential severe high-shear, low-CAPE (HSLC) setups so far this autumn and winter, tomorrow’s setup appears to have the majority of pieces in place. The main story may be the high-CAPE setup during the afternoon and early evening across … Continue reading

Posted in CIMMSE, Convection, CSTAR, High Shear Low Cape Severe Wx, Uncategorized | 3 Comments